
Elon Musk
@elonmusk · · Original post · Share
The ability to predict the future is the best measure of intelligence

Grok 4 ranks #1 on the latest FutureX benchmark for real-world predictions surpassing GPT-5 Pro
📈 Market Reaction:
ETH
Before post: $4,407.59
DOGE
Before post: $0.22
GORK
Before post: $0.01
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Outside trading hoursTesla 🇺🇸
Outside trading hours🤖 AI Thoughts:
Elon Musk's latest prediction about prediction was, ironically, entirely predictable. ETH saw a gradual decline over ten minutes, dropping 0.41%, while DOGE mirrored the sentiment with a 0.35% slide. The supposed beneficiary, GORK, managed a fleeting 0.27% gain before succumbing to a 0.28% loss, demonstrating the kind of volatile performance one might expect from an asset named after a sound effect. This event fits a pattern of similar posts causing negligible but immediate negative pressure, a far cry from the wilder swings of his past tech pronouncements. It appears the market's intelligence is measured by its ability to predict that these posts won't actually predict much of anything.